|Here are the latest (Feb 16) Newspoll results for Australian federal parties.
It basically reads as follows:
-the Coalition's primary vote is about 2% lower than it was for the last election, though it has picked up somewhat under Abbot from Turnbull's dying days.
-The ALP's has dropped by about 4% and the Greens has jumped by about 5%, picking up most of the extra votes.
-The ALP and Coalition are about the same as they were last time on a two-party preferred basis, with the ALP at 53% and the Coalition at 47%.
-Kevin Rudd's personal satisfaction rating is down quite a bit, as is his rating as preferred PM against Tony Abbott.
The way I read this there are a lot of left wing voters out there who are disolusioned with Kevin Rudd's failure to deliver what they expected of him, so they are going to the Greens. Most centrist swinging voters will probably staying with the ALP and Tony Abbott's Coalition will keep the welded on conservatives. I don't think workchoices is dead enough in anybodies mind for them to pick up any disaffected working class voters this time around.
What are people's thoughts on this and how it might influence the strategies of the major parties over the next 6 months or so until the election?
the ALP is heading for a comfortable victory in the lower house with numbers probably looking at staying about the same. However, the Greens look like they might